I'm A Degenrate

El Padrino's Weekly Football Betting Column

College:

Florida -3.5 over TENNESSEE
Vols squeaked one out last week against Air Force after an impressive beating of Cal a week prior. Which Vol team will show up? I'm guessing somewhere in between which tells me they ain't ready to beat a talented team like Florida. Too many weapons for Chris Leak who finally looks comfortable behind center. ($50)

USC -19 over Nebraska
No doubt Bill Callahan has done a great job in rebuilding that Nebraska program but Pete Carrol with two weeks to work with Booty and that offense will overwhelm him this week. And it's SoCal's first home game of the 2006 year so that merits a few td's alone. ($50)

FLORIDA STATE -3.5 over Clemson
Clemson comes in limping after that brutal loss to BC on Chestnut Hill last Saturday. Overtime thriller in which the Clemson kicker missed an extra point in OT to pretty much lose the game.
Father Bowden will have no mercy on his son after this week's practices made him look like the coach of Hoover High on that Two-A-Days show. FSU needs to send a message here. ($75)

Disclaimer: Because IAM requested and because I am (no pun intended) a nice guy I put in parenthesis how much I anticiapate putting on each game. Also tonight I mentioned WVU-17 over Maryland, that's worth ($100). Good Luck.

PROS

Lot's of big spreads this week.. Beware of the Back door covers!

Bucs +5.5 over HOTLANTA
King got one thing right in his picks for this week, nobody rallies a team to scrape a win out better than Jon "Chucky" Gruden. Plus Abraham is hobbled and last year I was at this game and the Bucs pulled it out in OT. That was a great game, Cadillac ran for like 130 and Vick fumbles in OT to set-up the game-winning FG. ($50)

SEAHAWKS -7 over Cards
Hawks rebound nicely at home and trounce the Cards. Niners put up points against these Cards so that tells me the Hawks will put up some points. Either that or the Madden curse will rear it's ugly head and Alexander will snap his fibula in the first quarter. ($100)

RAVENS -11 over Raiders
I can't help myself, this is too easy. Ray Lewis might actually eat Aaron Brooks. ($150)

Titans +12 over CHARGERS
Surprised? Smells like a back-door cover to me. I ain't sayin the Titans are going to win but the Chargers played the equivalent of a college team on Monday night. Titans came back and played good defense when it mattered on Sunday. They lost but they are a young team who can learn from that second half. Plus the Chargers ran the ball like 48 times or something like that. That smells like the O.Coordinator doesn't trust young Rivers yet. Look for Fisher to blitz his ass off Sunday. ($25)

Over/Under bet: Dolphins/Bills under 37
Saban has had since last Thursday night to prepare for the Bills. I don't expect them to score more than 10 in this AFC east match-up. ($25)

Exotic Bet: 4 game teaser
This allows me to add/subtract 13 points to each spread.

COLTS (Pk'em) over Texans
BEARS +5 over Detroit
BENGALS +2.5 over Browns
RAVENS +2 over Raiders

Easy enough, I'd say that warrants ($150).

Good Luck.