Wednesday, August 16, 2006

Fantasy Football's Top 50

Are you ready? It's Fantasy Football time and El Padrino/Teabagz annual Top 50 list is here to help you put together a championship team. Out of three seasons since I have started I have won 1 trophy, a third place finish and last year a I was 4th. This year should be no different. It's on like Donkey Kong. Lets' get started.

1. Larry Johnson, RB- Kansas City Cheifs
Best described as "STUD", Sir Larry was an animal last season by racking up over 1700 yards and 20 TD's. And now since Herman Edwards is the HC I expect a slight increase in those carries (336) . This makes him pick #1.

Projection: 372 attempts, 2100 yards, 25 TD's
48 receptions, 403 yards, 2 TD's

2. Shaun Alexander,RB- Seattle Seahawks
He's not going to duplicate the season he had last year (1880 yds, 27 TD's) but he still will be the second best back in the league. Two reasons why a repeat of 2005 is impossible. One, Steve Hutchinson is gone and two he's on the cover of Madden 2007. Yes I'm supersticious.

Projection: 341 attempts, 1655 yards, 21 TD's
20 receptions, 145 yards, 1 TD

3. Ladanian Tomlinson, RB- San Diego Chargers
I flirted with putting Tiki here because of the QB situation in SD but that may increase Tomlinson's reception numbers. Every rookie or first year starting QB needs a security blanket and we all know that while Gates could be that guy it will most likely be Tomlinson. No backer or secondary man can cover him and it's difficult to double a receiving RB. Alot easier to double the TE position is my point. Stack against the box at will against SD but beware of the HB seam up the middle of the field for 88 and TD.

Projection: 323 attempts, 1509 yards, 17 TD's
69 receptions, 511 yards, 4 TD's

4. Tiki Barber, RB- New York Giants
Continues to be a top 5 back in the league, touches the rock about 1000 times and no longer fumbles. This might be the last year he is in the top 5 as age is slowly creeping up the ladder. But I suspect at least one more phenominal year. Hear are the numbers.

Projection: 312 attempts, 1669 yards, 11 TD's
59 receptions, 531 yards, 3 TD's

5. Rudi Johnson, RB- Cincinnati Bengals
With Palmer likely out the first two weeks or so this guy will be carrying the load. And he can handle it. Over 1400 yards two years straight, and 24 TD's in two full season's. I have an inling that he will increase in each category this year.

Projection: 343 attempts, 1501 yards, 14 TD's
20 receptions, 101 yards, 0 TD's

6. Peyton Manning, QB- Indianapolis Colts
Contrary to how I like to draft (RB's first) if I had the 6th pick and those 4 guys up there were gone. I'd pick Manning. While I don't think he'll duplicate the most retarded year ever (2004, 49TD's) I do think he'll toss more than 30. Espeacially with Edge in the desert. Wayne and Harrison. All day long.

Projection: 357 completions/512 attempts, 4234 yards, 36 TD's/9 picks

7. Ronnie Brown, RB- Miami Dolphins
Ricky is gone. Give this man the rock. He will be a very nice surprise for owners who draft him.
He rushed for 907 yards on just 207 carries. A full year and next year we could be talking bout taking him in the top three. Numbers please.

Projections: 329 attempts, 1491 yards, 14 TD's
51 receptions, 319 yards, 2 TD's

8. Edgerrin James, RB- Arizona Cardinals
Last year in Indy he was an animal. With him gone I expect Peyton's numbers to be better. With him here I expect his numbers to maybe be a bit less. Peyton audibled alot for better running situations and more opportunities. Not so sure he'll match last years attempts (360).
This is why he's 8th and not 5th or 7th.

Projection: 302 attempts, 1269 yards, 15 TD's
48 receptions, 333 yards, 1 TD

9. Clinton Portis, RB- Washington Redskins
Shoulder situation dropped him this low. Otherwise he's be before Rudi and Ronnie. Workhorse back who bounced back from disapointing TD total in 2004. Last year had 11 TD's.

Projection: 356 attempts, 1406 yards, 13 TD's
21 receptions, 219 yards, 1 TD

10. Steven Jackson, RB- St. Louis Rams
He is striaght up licking his chops this season. He wants over 300 carries and he's going to get it. Barring injury he can be a top 5 back just like Ronnie Brown. Here come the young guys.

Projection: 313 attempts, 1434 yards, 12 TD's
41 receptions, 337 yards, 2 TD's

11. Lamont Jordan, RB- Oakland Raiders
Only 272 carries last year. He needs the ball more. Luckily Art Shell will have no choice but to hand the ball off to Jordan. He has no QB. And he has a pretty good offensive line.

Projection: 314 attempts, 1205 yards, 10 TD's
61 receptions, 498 yards, 3 TD's

12. Cadillac Williams, RB- Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Jumped on the scence last year but was slowed by nagging injuries. Let's see if he can handle the load this year.

Projection: 311 attempts, 1266 yards, 10 TD's
55 receptions, 441 yards, 2 TD's

13. Tom Brady, QB- New England Patriots
I think his numbers will be similar to last year's. And if that's the case you got a guy who at the end will have racked up over 300 fantasy points. That's good. One less thing to worry about. At this point the RB's behind him won't be going anywhere. He's the definite second QB that should be taken.

Projection: 310 completions/501 attempts, 4269 yards, 29 TD's/13 INT's

14. Chad Johnson, WR- Cinicinnati Bengals
First receiver that should go. Fuck TO and his maxi pads and no disrepect to Larry Fitz but dude Johnson is MAN. Here come the numbers.

Projection: 109 receptions, 1502 yards, 12 TD's

15. Larry Fitzgerald, WR- Arizona Cardinals
If Chad Johnson were dead he'd be number one receiver. But he's not so he's number two. Similar numbers but with Edge there more plays will be called for the RB position.

Projection: 99 receptions, 1397 yards, 8 TD's

16. Steve Smith, WR- Carolina Panthers
This guy was a animal last year. It won't be duplicated but it will still be a wonderful experience if you own him.

Projection: 90 receptions, 1422 yards, 10 TD's

17. Torry Holt, WR- St. Louis Rams
On some board he's rated the #1 WR. Maybe if Martz was still HC. With wizard gone they will definetely run the ball more and Holt is getting older and older.

Projection: 88 receptions, 1330 yards, 11 TD's

18. Willis McGahee, RB- Buffalo Bills
He may see 350 carries (beware of injury). That's bonuses for leagues who reward over certain amount. Since he is thier entire offense it'll be tough to put up great numbers but he still should have some good games. Would be a great 2nd RB on any roster.

Projection: 341 attempts, 1337 yards, 7 TD's
29 receptions, 256 yards, 1 TD

19. Domanick Davis, RB- Houston Texans
#1 on the depth chart. He should go over 1000 yards this year. That O-Line is still not very good but he's the best player available right now.

Projection: 252 attempts, 1116 yards, 9 TD's
36 receptions, 219 yards, 1 TD

20. Matt Hasselback, QB- Seattle Seahawks
Third QB worth more than any other position player. Always has a solid completion rate, picks are down and he has a great line. Not to mention a guy he can hand the ball off two 20-25 times to take the pressure off him.

Projection: 321 completions/519 attempts, 3892 yards, 24 TD's/11 picks

21. Marvin Harrison, WR- Indianapolis Colts
Peyton's partner in crime. The TD catching machine. Always 80+ receptions, always double digits in TD's. Never hurt.

Projections: 89 receptions, 1191 yards, 13 TD's

22. Julius Jones, RB- Dallas Cowboys
Don't like the fact that Barber III is breathing down his neck but as I mentioned yesterday he seems to be a fumbler and Parcells won't play a fumbler. So Jones it is. Just hope his small body takes the lickings.

Projection: 241 attempts, 1101 yards, 7 TD's
31 receptions, 222 yards, 1 TD's

23. Terrell Owens, WR- Dallas Cowboys
Whatever.

Projections: 77 receptions, 1231 yards, 9 TD's

24. Donald Driver, WR- Green Bay Packers
AKA the only guy Farve trusts. He should see the majority of Brett's throws. This might be the most "under the radar pick people forgot about Driver because GB sucked last year". Know what Im sayin'?

Projection: 86 receptions, 1298 yards, 10 TD's

25. Warrick Dunn, RB- Atlanta Falcons
Emergence of Jerrius Norwood could take away some of Dunn's carries but he no doubt still gets the job done more times than many. Real nice 2nd or 3rd option behind your #1.

Projection: 234 attempts, 1102 yards, 8 TD's
35 receptions, 263 yards, 2 TD's

26. Randy Moss, WR- Oakland Raiders
He could be lower because of Brooks, I'm just respecting his talent by putting him in the top 30.

Projection: 81 receptions, 1306 yards, 6 TD's

27. Reuben Droughns, RB- Cleavland Browns
Surronded by Braylon Edwards and Kellen Winslow Charlie Frye has some weapons on offense to move the ball. RD could, could have a better year (TD wise) than he did last year.

Projection: 291 attempts, 1166 yards, 6 TD's
23 receptions, 211 yards, 1 TD

28. Willie Parker, RB- Pittsburgh Steelers
I have my doubts but 1000 yards is no sneeze. If I think he'll get that then he deserves the hig spot. If not, I'm a fool.

Projection: 239 attempts, 1097 yards, 5 TD's
41 receptions, 398 yards, 2 TD's

29. Reggie Wayne, WR- Indianapolis Colts
With Peyton's big year comes Reggie's. Nicest one two punch besides Arizona.

Projection: 88 receptions, 1245 yards, 8 TD's

30. Hines Ward, WR- Pittsburgh Steelers
Big Ben's favorite target. He racks up alot of 10+ catch games. Solid.

Projection: 85 receptions, 1159 yards, 7 TD's

31. Anquan Boldin, WR- Arizona Cardinals
Maybe you think he should be higher but with the addition of Edge that automatically takes the ball out of the receiver's hands by about10 times a game (combined). Plus it's still Kurt Warner.

Projection: 76 receptions, 1069 yards, 6 TD's

32. Jamal Lewis, RB- Baltimore Ravens
Could be a bounceback year for the big guy. I predicted last years debacle but few people listened. One of the more interesting subplots going into this year.

Projections: 239 attemtps, 1053 yards, 6 TD's
29 receptions, 201 yards, 1 TD

33. Chris Chambers, WR- Miami Dolphins
Progressed every year, finally has a QB who can throw deep and makes the sickest one handed grabs ever.

Projections: 81 receptions, 1109 yards, 9 TD's

34. Kevin Jones, RB- Detroit Lions
I think he's going to have a good year. Martz not known for running but Faulk did have his best seasons under Martz offense. Plus Marinelli has some influence there and he likes to bang.

Projection: 219 attempts, 1009 yards, 7 TD's
36 receptions, 291 yards, 2 TD's

35. Roy Williams, WR- Detroit Lions
Same philosophy. Martz effect. Williams one problem was his route running. If he catches on in Martz system he might put up freakish numbers.

Projection: 71 receptions, 1047 yards, 6 TD's

36. Chester Taylor, RB- Minnesota Vikings
Interesting. Could be the Nate Burelson from a year ago or could be the Koren Robinson from a year ago. I like the O-line in Minny and Childress has stated he wants to run alot more than he did in Philly.

Projection: 252 attempts, 1103 yards, 9 Td's

37. Sanatana Moss, WR- Washington Redskins
Hard to dupliacte some of the games he had last year but still a dynamic football player that gets plays called for him often.

Projection: 68 receptions, 1201 yards, 6 TD's

38. Reggie Bush, RB- New Orleans
Deuce is still there but if you have that third RB/WR/TE option to start someone, it would be Bush. Any week he can bust a run for a TD and the projections for him are hard to computate.

Projections: 175 attempts, 923 yards, 10TD's
51 receptions, 455 yards, 3 TD's

39. Plaxico Burress, WR- New York Giants
Deep ball ability, possession receiver skills and Eli's favorite target. Can be moody at times but numbers don't lie.

Projections: 75 receptions, 1094 yards, 7 TD's

40. Antonio Gates, TE- San Diego Chargers
Game breaker at the TE position is a luxury.

Projection: 82 receptions, 911 yards, 10 TD's

41. Darrell Jackson, WR- Seattle Seahawks
#1 receiver on a very good team usually lead to soild numbers. Last year's were good.

Projection: 81 receptions, 1029 yards, 5 TD's

42. Carson Palmer, QB- Cincinnati Bengals
If not for the knee he would have been the third QB but who knows if he will be healthy. By week 3 though he should be fully recovered and ripping it.

Projection: 329 completions/479 attempts, 3697 yards, 27 TD's/11 INT's

43. Eli Manning, QB- New York Giants
Year 3. It will only get better.

Projections: 347 completions/529 attempts, 3756 yards, 24 TD's / 14 INT's

44. Jake Delhomme, QB- Carolina Panthers
Anyone throwing to Steve Smith will have good numbers. And Keyshawn will see the damn ball.

Projections: 301 completions/452 attempts, 3469 yards, 24 TD's / 10 INT's

45. Kurt Warner, QB- Arizona Cardinals
Two words. Larry. Anquan.

Projections: 337 completions/521 attempts, 3826 yards, 21 TD's / 15 INT's

46. Frank Gore, RB- San Francisco 49ers
Barlow is half way out the door, Gore will be the guy here and may do some damage.

Projection: 198 attempts, 912 yards, 8 TD's
26 receptions, 211 yards, 1 TD

47. Daunte Culpepper, QB- Miami Dolphins
Back from injury this guy could be a huge wild card for any fantasy roster. Remember what he did in 2004.

Projection: 311 completions/501 attempts, 3559 yards, 18 TD's / 12 INT's

48. Jake Plummer, QB- Denver Broncos
I don't know if he can duplicate last year but it can't hurt that he's got Javon Walker.

Projection: 289 completions/475 attempts, 3680 yards, 22 TD's / 14 INT's

49. Drew Bledsoe, QB- Dallas Cowboys
Can still sling it and has got TO to go along with TG.

Projection: 336 completions/540 attempts, 3691 yards, 25 TD's / 15 INT's

50. Drew Brees, QB- New Orlean Saints
San Diego is crazy. This guy is bona-fide. Shoulder is just fine.

Projection: 341 completions/501 attempts, 3429 yards, 26 TD's / 14 INT's

Few notes on some sleepers and late gimmies

Javon Walker in Denver
Laurence Maroney could take Dillion's job if he stumbles.
Addai in Indy I would watch
Carolina/Chicago defenses always solid but don't waste a high pick on that, it's silly
Favre....buyer beware. If they stink by mid-season you could see Rodgers.
Chris Brown is doo-doo, stop it.
Westbrook is hurt all the time and is not a full time RB. Don't bother.
Ahman Green, enticing.
Could Lee Evans finally break out and have a year?
Easy with Trent Green too, Herm will be pounding alot more
Watch Mark Clayton in Baltimore, everyone talks about Mason but he can play too
Jervicious in Cleavland, don't even think about it
Carolina/Chicago RB situation is still up in the air. Looks like Foster for CA and Jones for Chi.
Joe Horn, helloooo!!!
Jerry Porter stinks
Shockey, Gonzalez, Heap, Witten, Winslow, Davis.....that is all.
Watch the Braylon show down at the Dogg Pound weekly
Also starring Charlie Frye.......

Enjoy!

9 comments:

Los said...

I'll be printing this one out before the draft.

Question though - You say Westbrook is injury-prone (I agree), but then you say you like Ahman Green. Hasn't he been injury prone as well the last few years? I guess you got a feelin' or something.

The Rev said...

I like Brees, but I think he's got more trouble in NO than he had in SD. That will hurt him.

And your take on TO... I do think you are a little biased. Hell, I'm biased too. I hate him. But I think he's going to have one of those great TO type years just to spite the Eagles.

Nothing on McNabb? I think he steps up a bit now that he's healthy.

El Padrino said...

Los: Ahman Green has a track record of staying healthy. Green has had 1800 yd ruyshing seasons more than Westbrook has been healthy once all season.

Rev: To is already starting his shit. Already. It's a headache. Draft at your own risk, numbers will be great, yes. But then all of the sudden a roto wire comes across and it says "Ownes benched for Monday Night Game against Skins for misconduct detrimental to the team" Then what? You have to start Brandon Lloyd?

McNabb, jury still out for me. If the jury is still out then your not in the top 50. 1) he's got no WR's 2) will he run more (he should) 3) Westbrook is already hurt 4) Moat is not the answer
All in all I think the burden to carry the team breaks him down a bit. We'll see. He woiuld have made the Top 60 though.

Crass: Excellent point, duly noted but in my defense would you draft Glenn over Driver, Moss's, Boldin, Wayne, Ward, Williams, Plax, Chambers or Jackson. I wouldn't. I mean he is on the wrong side of 30.

Stevo- injuries are somthing that cannot be predicted but I will take your prediction to my local Independence bank, fill out a deposit form and deposit it in the bank. Vernand is the backup and he could be a nice waiver wire pick up if Davis goes down.

iamunstoppable said...

that had to take a long time to write.

and really though.. TO already starting crap in *training camp*?? come on man...

El Padrino said...

it took two days

he's cancer

Fairmaiden327 said...

OMG WTF did I just read. That was Chinese. Thanks EP you came through. Going to see a shitty movie will read catch up and shoot the shit when I return. Lata.

The Rev said...

McNabb doesn't have the receivers he used to have, but Reggie Brown and Hank Baskett are showing me something in camp. They may surprise.

And if TO pulls his shit, that's why I drafted 5 receivers. I can go with someone like David Givens in a pinch.

Anonymous said...

Phenomenal stuff you magnificent bastard. I'm going to savor this like the three foot Italian sub I had for lunch, although your Big Blue bias usually hits me like the cappicola two hours later.

Keep 'em coming, your previews are like sustenance for me. In fact I think your previews should be traded on the Merc. Where's Clarence Beeks when you need him?

concha said...

wow. that was so long. even with me just scrolling through and not reading it! you boys have fun. and call me when you wanna watch college football.